Saturday, March 10, 2007

The H Share Fund Report 4 March - 9 March

I type this report using a Pacific Coffee Shop computer in the Satrday afternoo.

As I cannot type Chinese in this computer, I complie this report in English instead.

Generally I wish to complete this report at least in a weekly basis, so that I could keep track of my fund management and keep some sanity.

As I spined off all my investment related writing to this new blog, I don't need to keep consistence in styles with my main blog page, " The Quam-monotongue". This blog is more a down to earth forum, and more self -interested oriented.

As such, I keep a very low profile of this blog in the future. I guess it will be very diffcult for the main blog viewers to find this blog, as the blog link was placed at the bottom. It was so intended.

Fund perforamce:

Actually there was no many things to said about the fund performance during the last week. The fund was barely break even: no much gain, no much lose. A 0% return is recorded. Nonetheless, it is comforting to say this is much better than H share Index in general, which recorded a 8% decrease since 26 Feb, the date by which my fund entered full operation. At such timing, I guess very few investor could suffer only 0% loss.

Currently, I holding only 10% cash, the remaining 90% was put on 6 H shares, including: 1114 - 41%, 203-19%, 1098- 8%, 753- 11%, 2345- 12%. The heavy weigh was put on Automobile shares, accounting to 60% shares of the fund.

Way forward:

I am not going to write down a paranomic review on the general market and each segment in which I invested.

My old friend Mark's comment on Subjectivity had me seriously worried. I need to fully review my thinking process. Before that, talking about expected returns or target rates is meaningless.

One thing I am certain. I made a mistake that taking fund operation as a "hopethesis testing", ie, I found my judgement and test my hopethesis by making investment decisions, and reported in my reports.

It not such a game. As any vertern like Mark could notice that in my writing. I am not a investment columist, I am a investor buying with real money. It is not a intellectul pursuit, but profit maximaztion.

But how to remedy that? How to improve me perfomrance? I have no idea. But I am looking for answers. It is better start with questions than without.

7 comments:

Giantdragon (巨龍先生) said...

Turned out I found your blog. Everyone click on your profile should find it.
Nice and useful blog. Please don't mind if I try to learn from you withing paying tuition.

. said...

sure.
But I afraid that this is more recording my mistakes rather than success.
by the way, I now moved into the Sunway Gardern. shoul u stay in HK, then we are next door neigbour haha.

Alex said...

關於improve performance,我發表一點陋見。
1. 目標定位。是高風險高回報還是保守的投資呢?對risk和uncertainty的pricing如何呢?換句話說,就是自己大致的“ultility function”搞清楚。如果對risk很在乎,那做點hedge還是需要的。

2. 操作方式定位。這個當然受目標定位的影響,不過也和個人現實情況相關。例如,就算想做day trade,也要看個人到底是否能一天到晚看著股價變動。定位好是主要做day trade呢,短綫呢,還是中長綫。例如,如果做短綫的話,個人認爲其實主要就是分析消息 rather than 看技術分析。

抛磚引玉,歡迎批評斧正

Alex

. said...

Unlike other fund mangers, my ulitity function curve on risk and return is twisted. As the money is not mine, capital preservation and profit maximaztion are my major targets. If I am near the 0% return, then I become prudent, if I have some profit, then I go risky investments, using the earned return to venture. As now, I am prudent, and no go for risky investments.

Giantdragon (巨龍先生) said...

Oh, my god! Which block are you living in?

Giantdragon (巨龍先生) said...

I think the most precious experience in investment is that of failure. I don't have to learn from your success... I need to know how you failed :P

. said...

B block.

Then I sincerely wish you would be disappointed in viewing this blog a. :)